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Carbon emissions on track to rise this year
14 November 2017, 12:47 | Austin Hogan
Carbon emissions on track to rise this year
"Even though we project carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry to increase 2% in 2017, large uncertainties persist, and growth [rates] between 1% and 3% are distinct possibilities given difficulties in making projections".
In a report published on Monday, researchers say the increase in global emissions is largely due to growth in coal-fired electricity generation and oil and gas consumption in China.
The GCP is a collaboration between worldwide science organisations to monitor global carbon emissions and their sources in order to help "slow the rate of increase of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere". But China has invested hundreds of billions of dollars in developing its renewable energy sector while President Donald Trump has made clear his intention of aiding and abetting the fossil fuel industry's climate denialism and polluting activities.
Global CO2 emissions from all human activities are set to reach 41 billion tonnes (41 Gt CO2) by the end of 2017. In 101 countries, emissions increased as GDP increased.
Data from the Department of Environment and Energy shows Australia's emissions have been increasing since 2013.
However, experts said that an already hugely ambitious target had been thrown further into doubt with the likely increase in Carbon dioxide emissions this year.
Dr Canadell is also concerned that Australia is running out of time to reverse the emissions trajectory.
Researchers presented the information at COP23 in Bonn, Germany.
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Although Professor Jotzo said there is a chance that Australia's 2017 emissions may show a slight decline due to the closing of the Hazelwood power station, this will likely be offset by a higher sales of petrol during the same period.
"With global Carbon dioxide emissions from human activities estimated at 41 billion tonnes for 2017, time is running out on our ability to keep warming well below 2ºC, let alone 1.5ºC, she said".
The United States and the European Union (28 nations), on the other hand, are likely to report decline in their emissions growth this year as compared to 2016.
He added that it was too early to be confident about the precise figure for China, which may range between 0.7 and 5.4% emissions growth. Meanwhile emissions from fossil fuels are set to reach 37 Gt CO2 - a record high. India's emissions are projected to increase by around two percent - but that's down from more than six percent a year in the last decade.
It could take as long as 10 years for scientists to confidently verify a sustained change in emissions using measurements of atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide.
"Policy makers in Bonn are preparing for the Global Stocktake under the Paris Agreement, that will start in 2018 and occur every five years, and this puts huge pressure on the scientific community to develop methods and perform measurements that can truly verify changes in emissions within this five-yearly cycle", said Prof Le Quéré.
"Policy makers in Bonn are preparing for the Global Stocktake under the Paris Agreement, that will start in 2018 and occur every five years, and this puts huge pressure on the scientific community to develop methods and perform measurements that can truly verify changes in emissions within this five-yearly cycle", Prof Le Quere added.
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